The Hill's Morning Report — Expectations high for GOP this Election Day

Here’s what we think we know as Election Day dawns nationwide, based on our colleagues’ reporting: It’s going to be a good night for Republican candidates competing for House seats. How good remains to be seen. The GOP could wrest the Senate majority away from President Biden and Democrats by a single seat, although there are other plausible scenarios as millions of Americans line up to vote on Tuesday. “Look, if we're able to hold on, we're going to be in incredible shape,” the president said Monday during a Democratic Nationa

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Seven races to watch for early signs of House results

The final partisan breakdown of the House is unlikely to be known on election night or in the days after, as states such as New York and California, where Republicans hope to pick up many seats, often take weeks to tabulate final results.  But there are some congressional districts that could see results relatively early on election night that have environments similar to many other competitive districts across the country, providing clues about the overall trends in the electorate that will determine the final congressional breakdown. Here are seven races to monito

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Manchin's call for Social Security, Medicare deal stokes GOP optimism

Sen. Joe Manchin’s (D-W.Va.) comments signaling support for working across the aisle on entitlement programs like Social Security are getting a warm reception from some fiscal conservatives, despite skepticism about the chances of a bipartisan deal in the next Congress. Discussing where he thinks both sides could find common ground in the next Congress, Manchin recently pointed to shoring up solvency for programs like Social Security and Medicare while pressing for action on tackling the nation’s climbing debt.  “If we don’t look at the trust funds that are goi

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Battle for the Senate: Here’s the paths for GOP majority

This story explains the Republicans path to the Senate majority. Click here to read about the other party’s path. The wind is blowing in the direction of Republicans retaking the Senate majority a day before the midterm elections.   The number of paths to a GOP majority has expanded in the past six weeks, putting the party in position to win as many as 54 seats if everything goes their way.   Here’s how the GOP could take back the Senate after two years in

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Here's four scenarios for the midterm results in the House

House Republicans are widely expected to win back power after four years in the minority in Tuesday’s midterm election, but the partisan breakdown of the chamber will have major implications on how it operates next year. The GOP’s estimated gains vary wildly, from a handful of seats — which would lend Republican leaders just a slim majority — to a red tsunami that would give them a huge cushion to manage their sometimes boisterous conference through the second half of President Biden’s first term.  House Democrats’ narrow majority after unexpected losses in 2020 put

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