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The Anti-Defamation League’s CEO Jonathan Greenblatt on Monday said former President Trump’s remarks that American Jews need to “get their act together” to show appreciation for Israel “before it’s too late” sounded like a threat.
“There is a larger pattern afoot. People are feeling attacked and hewed in from both sides. It’s incredibly concerning. So when the President says ‘before it’s too late,’ it sounds like a threat in an environment where Jews already feel threatened,” Greenblatt said on CNN’s “New Day.”
“It is belwildering that President Trump, who has Jewish children and Jewish grandchildren, continues to evoke age-old antisemitic tropes,” Greenblatt said.
The comments Trump made on his Truth Social platform Sunday immediately came under fire for invoking antisemitic stereotypes, with many calling Trump out for fanning the flames of antisemitic sentiments and violence.
Asked what he thought the former president meant by his “before it’s too late” remark, Greenblatt quipped, “Who knows what President Trump ever means?”
The Anti-Defamation League leader underscored what he sees as a dangerous rhetoric in the former president’s message.
“In this moment, Jewish people are feeling besieged, and when the former president of the United States makes if you will, an unveiled threat, don’t excuse that by harkening back to policy things you may have done years ago,” Greenblatt said.
In the past, Trump has leaned on stereotypes about American Jews’ loyalty and power, and has “welcomed antisemites and extremists into the public conversation,” Greenblatt said.
Trump argued in his post that “no President has done more for Israel” and appeared to say he could “easily” become the country’s prime minister.
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Former President Trump leads President Biden by 1 point in a hypothetical rematch, according to a New York Times-Siena College poll published Monday.
Trump leads Biden, 45 to 44 percent, when likely voters were asked whom they would support if the 2024 presidential election were held today.
That’s roughly in line with previous polling showing Trump leading Biden, Vice President Harris and Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) in hypothetical match-ups.
Other polls have been more favorable for Biden, including a Yahoo News-YouGov poll last month that had Biden leading Trump by 6 points.
Biden and the White House have repeatedly said the president intends to seek reelection, but have stopped short of a definitive announcement. Trump has flirted with a 2024 run and said his mind was made up but has not announced his candidacy.
The New York Times-Siena College poll also shows Biden’s approval ratings are underwater, even after the president had climbed higher in other polls.
In the new poll, just 39 percent approve of how Biden is handling his job, which comes as inflation remains at a 40-year high and accelerated in September.
Meanwhile, about 43 percent of likely voters currently have a favorable opinion of Trump, according to the poll, compared to 52 percent who have an unfavorable opinion.
The New York Times-Siena College poll was conducted from Oct. 9 to Oct. 12 among 792 registered voters. The margin of error is 4 percentage points.
House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) is expressing extreme confidence in his chances of becoming Speaker next year if Republicans win control of the House in the midterm elections, suggesting that divine intervention is the only thing that can keep him from the gavel.
McCarthy said in an interview with Punchbowl News published Monday that he believes he can win the votes of the House Republican Conference no matter how large a GOP majority is, that the prospect of losing does not keep him up at night, and that if he doesn’t win, it wasn’t in “God’s plan.”
“I think I can win with any seat majority,” McCarthy said. “If I’m even up for Speaker, that means we won seats. I’ve been [the top House Republican for] two cycles. I’ve never lost seats, I’ve only won.”
Republican insiders privately muse that McCarthy could have a harder time winning a Speakership vote if Republicans gain only a slim majority.
The GOP leader predicted last year that his party could flip as many as 60 seats, but Republicans have since publicly tempered expectations. It is typical for at least a handful of members to vote against their party’s ultimate pick for Speaker.
But McCarthy has not faced any serious internal challenge to his Speakership ambitions, based in part on his embrace of the confrontational right wing of the House Republican Conference that previously clashed with former GOP Speakers John Boehner (Ohio) and Paul Ryan (Wis.) before they left Congress.
“If I’m not going to be acceptable to the body having that scenario this time, no one’s acceptable,” McCarthy said. “I don’t worry about it at night. I don’t worry about the attacks. I’m sure the attacks will come, they want to demonize.”
McCarthy said that if he does not win the Speakership next year, it is “not God’s plan for me to be speaker.”
The GOP leader also told Punchbowl that he would like at least a 10-seat majority, which would mean gaining at least 15 seats, in order to account for various issues like unexpected deaths in the House.
He said it would be “a little hard” to win the Speakership for a second time in 2025 if Republicans hold on to the House but their majority shrinks.
“When you study Speakers who take it from the minority to the majority, they’re not long-lasting Speakers,” McCarthy said. “What happens in it, you become a household name. And you just take all these arrows. So you’re the guy running up the hill with the flag, it’s always the person behind you that wants to pick it up after you’ve been shot. They never had to go through the war, they just get to hold onto the flag.”
The Justice Department is calling for one-time White House strategist Steve Bannon to serve six months of jail time and pay a $200,000 fine for defying a subpoena from the House committee investigating the Jan. 6 attack on the Capitol.
The recommendation comes ahead of a Friday sentencing hearing for Bannon, who was among the first four people to be subpoenaed by the panel, claiming executive privilege barred him from testifying before the panel despite their interest in actions he took well after his short stint in the White House.
A $200,000 fine is the maximum for the two counts of contempt of Congress – one for refusing to testify, and the other for refusing to produce any of the documents requested in the deposition.
Bannon was subpoenaed by the panel in September of last year, with the full House voting to hold him in contempt roughly a month later.
About 49 percent of likely voters said they would back the GOP nominee, while 45 percent said they would support a Democratic candidate.
The figures are rounded; when the unrounded figures are used, the GOP holds closer to a 3-point edge at 48.51 percent to 45.47 percent.
This is a shift since September, when the Times poll found Democrats holding a slim 1-point edge over Republicans among likely voters.
But it is in line with several other polls suggesting Republicans have regained a lead over Democrats, who appear to be losing ground after a surge of support following the Supreme Court’s controversial decision in June overturning abortion rights.
Inflation and the economy are hurting President Biden and Democrats. They remain the top concern for voters this election cycle, and last week the Labor Department showed inflation accelerated once again in September and remains at a 40-year high.
Twenty-six percent of likely voters list the economy as a the top concern, the highest on the list, according to the New York Times-Siena College poll.
Another 18 percent list inflation as a top concern, while just 5 percent list abortion as a top issue.
The poll also has Biden’s job approval rating down to 39 percent, lower than recent polls showing he had gained some ground with voters.
About 24 percent of likely voters said the country is on the right track, while 64 percent said it’s headed in the wrong direction, according to the poll.
The New York Times-Siena College poll was conducted from Oct. 9 to Oct. 12 among 792 registered voters. The margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.
With 22 days until Nov. 8, contests across the country are heating up in the last stretch before Election Day. Debates are scheduled in four states tonight, and early voting starts today in Georgia (News4Jax).
Meanwhile, President Biden and former President Obama are stumping for Democratic candidates this week as outcomes in the House and Senate go down to the wire, along with key gubernatorial contests.
In the governor’s race in Georgia, Gov. Brian Kemp (R) and Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams will debate at 7 p.m. ET. The contest marks a rematch of 2018, when Kemp narrowly defeated Abrams, who sought to become the nation’s first Black female governor (U.S. News).
“A lot of people didn’t know who I was [in 2018] and I was defined by a candidate who had twice as much money as I did and had the national media in her pocket,” Kemp said after a recent campaign stop. “I never could really fight through that. It’s a different story now.”
▪ USA Today: In the tight race for Georgia governor, Black men emerge as a key voter target in Abrams’ campaign.
In Iowa, Republican Gov. Kim Reynolds will debate Democrat Deidre DeJear at 8 p.m. ET.
In Ohio, Senate candidates Rep. Tim Ryan (D) and Republican J.D. Vance will face off for a second time at 7 p.m. ET.
And in Utah, Sen. Mike Lee (R) will debate his independent challenger, Evan McMullin, at 8 p.m. ET. The state is emerging as a wildcard race in the battle to control the Senate, writes The Hill’s Alexander Bolton, with McMullin trailing Lee by only a few points.
Lee has pleaded for Sen. Mitt Romney (R-Utah) to endorse him, but Romney has declined, prompting even former President Trump to pressure Romney to back Lee. Lee has clashed with Romney often, voting against the bipartisan bills he backed on issues ranging from infrastructure to gun violence and semiconductors. And Lee has supported Trump’s efforts to overturn the 2020 election, which Romney adamantly opposed.
In Utah, Democrats have coalesced behind McMullin — who has vowed not to caucus with senators from either party — while some Republican moderates remain undecided.
▪ Deseret News: State of the race: Lee, McMullin butting heads in bid for U.S. Senate.
▪ The New York Times: In Utah, a Trump loyalist sends an SOS to Romney, of all people.
Information about how to watch each debate tonight can be found HERE.
Following scandals that rocked Republican Herschel Walker’s Senate campaign in Georgia, members of the GOP are looking to Pennsylvania as the linchpin and open-seat race that could determine control of the Senate. The contest between Lt. Gov. John Fetterman (D) and Republican Mehmet Oz has become more important within each party, writes The Hill’s Al Weaver.
One Republican strategist familiar with recent internal polling said that Oz, after trailing his Democratic opponent for months, has drawn even, boosting the party’s hopes with just over three weeks to go.
“Given the revelations around Walker in the last two weeks, Oz’s stock in combination with the race closing has risen. The trajectory of the race is just so good,” the strategist said.
Biden on Thursday will travel to Pittsburgh to campaign for Fetterman (WTAE) and will return to Pennsylvania with Vice President Harris next week. Meanwhile Obama is set to kick off his midterm campaigning in Atlanta on Oct. 28 before heading to the Midwest on Oct. 29 to campaign in Michigan and Wisconsin (The Washington Post).
Obama on Friday sat down with former administration staffers and hosts of Pod Save America to speak about the power of voters in the midterms and Democrats’ progress on crucial issues.
“Across the board, what we’ve seen is that when Democrats have a working majority, or even really slim majority in Congress, they can make people’s lives better,” Obama said in the interview. “If you combine the deep concerns about our democracy with the concrete accomplishments that [the Biden] administration [has] been able to deliver, because we had a narrow majority in both the House and the Senate, that should be enough to inspire people to get out.”
Senate control remains a nail-biter, and while control of the House is still projected for Republicans, both parties hope to win over voters based on hot-button issues. For Democrats, that means reproductive rights and health care, while Republicans are focused on crime and the economy.
Biden is set to capitalize on the national conversation about abortion rights at a Tuesday Democratic National Committee event at the Howard Theatre in Washington, D.C. The White House has zeroed in on the fight to protect abortion rights, pushing back on GOP efforts to enact restrictions federally and in individual states (CNN).
Earlier this month, Biden said he would not “sit by and let Republicans throughout the country enact extreme policies.”
Republicans see parents’ rights as a sleeper issue in the 2022 midterms, arguing it could swing key Senate and House races toward their party and help them win back power in Congress, writes The Hill’s Brett Samuels.
In the weeks leading up to Election Day, experts are stressing the importance of public confidence in elections and the democratic process, warning that candidates who are election deniers on ballots across the country, coupled with misinformation about election security, pose serious threats.
“I’m afraid that we will have a dozen elections, state-wide elections, across the country in major states that will be decided by less than 1 percent, and we’re going to have candidates denying the results, not accepting them, and I don’t think this country can live through that,” pollster Frank Luntz said on Bloomberg TV on Friday. “To go through another two years of election denial is so dangerous for democracy” (The Hill).
Democrats, too, are sounding the alarm about the possibility of Republican election deniers winning statewide office in key swing states, reports The Hill’s Caroline Vakil. Republican gubernatorial candidates such as Kari Lake in Arizona and Doug Mastriano in Pennsylvania and Republican secretary of state candidates such as Jim Marchant in Nevada and Kristina Karamo in Michigan have gained notoriety for casting doubt on the last election, with some even suggesting they would not have certified the 2020 results.
Now Democrats and even some Republicans are worrying about the effect these candidates could have in further undermining confidence in future U.S. elections should they win office, especially as the country stares down the likelihood of another polarized presidential race in 2024.
▪ The Washington Post: On Lake’s campaign for Arizona governor, the mic is always hot.
▪ USA Today: Lake won’t commit to honoring election results.
And while Trump isn’t on the ballot in 2022, the former president still looms large over the midterm elections, whether he’s campaigning for candidates or creating headlines as he faces various legal challenges.
Will Wilkerson, the co-founder of Trump’s beleaguered social media company Truth Social, who was fired on Thursday, is now alleging the firm violated federal securities laws and that the former president pressured executives to hand over lucrative shares to his wife.
Wilkerson filed a whistleblower complaint to the Securities and Exchange Commission in August. He backed his complaint with emails, documents, messages and audio recordings that detailed a pattern of infighting, technical incompetence and power struggles inside Trump Media (The Washington Post and The Guardian).
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▪ The New York Times: A new generation of combat vets, eyeing House, strike from the right.
▪ The Hill: In these swing states, mail-in voting changes could play a decisive role.
▪ The Hill: Jill Biden dives into campaign mode in final weeks before midterms.
▪ The New York Times: Democrats spent $2 trillion to save the economy. They don’t want to talk about it.
▪ The Hill: Democrats are quietly making 2024 contingency plans ahead of the midterms.
National Security at The Speed of Sound: Hypersonics in American Defense, Tuesday, Oct. 18 at 1 p.m. ET
Hypersonic missiles—those able to fly up to five times the speed of sound—are crucial to U.S. national security in the eyes of American defense leaders. As great power competitors China and Russia develop and deploy the technology, where does the United States stand in the race to develop, test, manufacture and scale hypersonic missiles? Rep. Donald Norcross (D-N.J.), Under Secretary of Defense for Research and Engineering Heidi Shyu, NDIA Director Dr. Mark Lewis and more join The Hill to discuss the future of readiness. RSVP today.
LEADING THE DAY
➤INTERNATIONAL
Chinese President Xi Jinping is expected to secure a record-breaking third term in office at the conclusion of this week’s 20th Communist Party congress. In a Sunday speech that struck triumphant notes about COVID-19, Hong Kong and Taiwan, Xi offered few specifics about some of China’s most significant challenges ahead, including its economy (CNN and The Washington Post).
“The wheels of history are rolling on toward China’s reunification and the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation,” Xi said. “Complete reunification of our country must be realized, and it can, without doubt, be realized.”
▪ Reuters analysis: A $1 trillion headache: China’s local fiscal shortfall poses broader growth risks to the world’s second biggest economy in 2023.
Four drone strikes hit central Kyiv this morning as Russia used Iranian kamikaze drones to attack critical infrastructure. The strikes mark the second attack on the Ukrainian capital in a week (Bloomberg News).
On Sunday, several strikes hit the Russian region of Belgorod near the Ukrainian border, leaving at least three wounded. The strikes raise questions about the security of the region, which has served as a key supply route for Russian troops. They appeared to be part of an uptick of attacks in the area. Belgorod shares a border with Kharkiv, the region of Ukraine retaken by Kyiv’s forces in September (The New York Times).
Ukrainian troops are also still holding the strategic eastern town of Bakhmut despite repeated Russian attacks, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said in a Saturday video address (Reuters).
▪ Reuters: Gunmen kill 11 at Russian army base in new blow to Moscow’s Ukraine campaign.
▪ The Washington Post: Iran plans to send missiles, drones to Russia for Ukraine war.
▪ The New York Times: “Coffins are already coming”: The toll of Russia’s chaotic draft.
In the United Kingdom, members of parliament will try to oust Prime Minister Liz Truss as soon as this week, reports The Daily Mail. Truss succeeded Boris Johnson as prime minister Sept. 6 and has faced a series of controversies over proposed tax and budget proposals amid soaring inflation, which triggered policy retreats, a change in the chancellor of the exchequer and friction between the government and the Bank of England (Reuters).
IN FOCUS/SHARP TAKES
➤ ADMINISTRATION
White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan told CNN on Sunday that Biden has “no plans” to meet with Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman during next month’s Group of 20 summit (Axios).
Biden last week said the United States would have more to say about Saudi Arabia’s decision to cut petroleum production, knowing that some senators are eager to return in November and cut off U.S. arms sales to the kingdom based on opposition to Saudi Arabia’s support for Russia as part of OPEC and allied oil producers.
“The president did say he is going to re-evaluate our relationship with Saudi Arabia because they did side with Russia against the interest of the American people,” Sullivan said.
“This is a relationship that got built over decades on a bipartisan basis,” the president’s adviser added. “So, the president isn’t going to act precipitously — he’s going to act methodically, strategically and he’s going to take his time to consult with members of both parties, and also to have an opportunity for Congress to return so he can sit with them in person and work through the options.”
Saudi Arabia’s defense chief, Prince Khalid bin Salman, on Sunday rejected assessments that the country’s oil production decision is part of its alliance with petroleum producer Russia (The Hill).
“We are astonished by the accusations that the kingdom is standing with Russia in its war with Ukraine. It is telling that these false accusations did not come from the Ukrainian government,” the Prince Khalid said on Twitter.
🦻 The Food and Drug Administration reminds consumers about the availability of hearing aids that can be purchased over the counter starting today at Walgreens, CVS, Walmart, and beginning later this week at Best Buy and Hy-Vee (CNN). Under a final FDA rule, adults with mild-to-moderate hearing loss can buy hearing aids at a store or online without a prescription, exam, or audiologist fitting, according to the administration’s reminder about a new policy that it says can help nearly 30 million Americans with hearing loss, including nearly 10 million adults under age 60.
💊 Health and Human and Services Department: The president on Friday signed an executive order that directs the department to look for additional ways to lower drug costs (Axios).
🔎 Privacy and security: The president on Friday signed an executive order to implement a new framework to protect the privacy of personal data shared between the U.S. and Europe. A European court undid an earlier version of the framework in 2020. The new Privacy Shield seeks to address European concerns of surveillance by U.S. intelligence agencies (CNBC).
🐔 The Agriculture Department says sweeping changes would be required for chicken and turkey meat processing to reduce illnesses from contamination under proposed U.S. Department of Agriculture Food Safety and Inspection Service rules announced on Friday. Despite decades of efforts to try to reduce illnesses caused by salmonella in food, more than 1 million people in the United States are sickened every year and nearly a fourth of those cases come from turkey and chicken meat (King5).
■ Xi’s coronation portends a hard era for China and the world, by The Washington Post editorial board. https://wapo.st/3EIQr3D
WHERE AND WHEN
The House meets at 9 a.m. on Tuesday for a pro forma session. Members are scheduled to return to the Capitol on Nov. 14. Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Rep. Anna Eshoo (D-Calif.) at 9 a.m. PT will visit the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory in Menlo Park, Calif.
The Senate convenes at 11:30 a.m. on Tuesday for a pro forma session. Senators make their way back to Washington on Nov. 14.
The president returns to the White House from Delaware at 12:20 p.m.
The vice president is in Los Angeles where she and Rep. Karen Bass (D-Calif.) and Celinda Vázquez of Planned Parenthood will hold a moderated conversation about reproductive rights at 3 p.m. PT at the Nate Holden Performing Arts Center. Harris at 6:10 p.m. PT will headline a Democratic National Committee fundraiser at a private residence in Los Angeles. Second gentleman Doug Emhoff will attend.
Secretary of State Antony Blinken is in California where he joins Pelosi and Eshoo this morning in Menlo Park, Calif., to visit the SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory. The secretary will join former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice at Stanford University for a conversation about various current events at 12:45 a.m. PT. Blinken will participate in a Stanford University student recruitment event at 11:50 a.m. PT. The secretary will answer journalists’ questions at 1:10 p.m. PT in Stanford, Calif. Blinken at 2 p.m. PT will visit Applied Materials Maydan Technology Center in Sunnyvale, Calif.
Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will meet with AFL-CIO leaders.
The White House daily press briefing is scheduled at 1:30 p.m.
ELSEWHERE
➤ TECH
If Elon Musk’s deal goes through to buy Twitter for $44 billion, he apparently intends to morph the social media platform into an “everything app” he calls X. For months, the Tesla and SpaceX CEO has expressed interest in creating his own version of China’s WeChat — a “super app” that does video chats, messaging, streaming and payments — for the rest of the world (CNN and KATV).
The Hill: New short-form audio app CenterClip aims to deliver “authentic, unfiltered” political commentary.
➤ PANDEMIC & HEALTH
Administration officials are raising concerns about the slow pace of nasal COVID-19 vaccine development in the U.S., pointing to security risks as China, Iran and Russia approve their own nasal and oral vaccines.
Because Congress hasn’t approved more research and development funds, these types of vaccines aren’t close to entering the market, despite research. And pharmaceutical companies aren’t investing much money either, citing low profit potential (Politico).
“Intranasal vaccines — vaccines that are variant-resistant — those are critical tools to have in the toolbox for protecting Americans, not just for Covid but also for future pandemics and also for future biosecurity threats,”Ashish Jha, the Biden administration COVID-19 response coordinator, told Politico.
CNBC: Omicron-specific COVID-19 boosters appear to work well, new data says — regardless of the side effects you experience.
🍝 Today is National Pasta Day — as good an excuse as any for some carbo loading and comfort food. Cheap, versatile and internationally popular, pasta is a favorite almost anywhere consumers venture during times of high food prices. Customarily made with durum wheat, versions can be healthy and even gluten-free (Healthline).
Companies know that October, which is National Pasta Month, is a time for mass marketing and pasta deals, no matter the “gravy,” the meatballs or the cheese (CNET, Thrillist, Fansided).
Republicans are seizing on the issue of parents’ rights ahead of November, arguing it could swing key Senate and House races toward their party and help them win back power in Congress.
The descriptor covers an array of issues that bubbled to the forefront after the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, but broadly argues in favor of giving parents a say in their children’s education, including where they attend school, what they are taught and how LGBTQ issues are discussed.
“Parents want education, not indoctrination, and we should expect this movement to have a major impact in the midterm elections. This is one of many issues causing voters to support conservatives — the same people who care about education care about others like inflation and crime,” Jessica Anderson, executive director of the conservative group Heritage Action, said in a statement to The Hill.
Republicans believe Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin’s (R) victory last year provides a blueprint for how the issue can propel GOP candidates to success. Youngkin capitalized on frustration over mask mandates and remote learning even after vaccines were widely available, as well as the handling of LGBTQ issues in the classroom, in his campaign to defeat former Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D).
Republicans believe many of those same issues apply to parents across the country and that they can convince voters that Democrats are a party that overreaches and makes decisions that are better left to parents.
“Whether it’s unscientific lockdowns and mask mandates, destructive ideologies, or an open border that’s allowing ‘rainbow’ fentanyl targeting children to pour into our country, Democrats consistently put their special interests first, and our kids suffer for it,” Republican National Committee Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel wrote in an op-ed earlier this month for Newsmax.
Republicans this week seized on legislation put forward by a Virginia state delegate that would make it a crime for parents to not affirm their child’s gender identity. The delegate, Elizabeth Guzman, recently campaigned with Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-Va.), who is in one of the most closely contested House races on the ballot this November.
“Abigail Spanberger is campaigning with woke radicals that don’t believe in parental rights and want parents jailed because Spanberger agrees with these insane policies,” National Republican Congressional Committee spokesperson Camille Gallo said in a statement.
Strategists largely agree that the midterms will turn on voters’ views on the economy, with much of the focus on the cost of gas, groceries and other goods. Abortion rights will also likely be a major factor in the wake of the Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade and some Republicans subsequently pushing for national restrictions on when women can get the procedure.
But parents’ rights are an issue many voters feel strongly about, according to Republican strategists and grassroots activists, and lawmakers have been publicly discussing the topic for months.
House Republicans last November released a proposed “Parents Bill of Rights” that calls for parents to know what is being taught at their kids’ schools, to be aware of budgeting decisions in school districts and to be able to protect their child’s privacy. Rep. Elise Stefanik (N.Y.), a member of House GOP leadership, promoted the proposal on Twitter as recently as last week.
Heritage Action conducted polling in early September of 1,900 likely voters in Arizona, Georgia, New Hampshire, Nevada and Wisconsin — five battleground states that will likely determine control of the Senate that also have key House races.
The poll found that roughly one-third of voters listed something other than the economy, inflation or abortion as the most important issue to them heading into November. It also found voters in those states overwhelmingly agreeing with Republicans on the issue of “age-appropriate schooling.”
Sixty-eight percent of those surveyed, including 71 percent of independents, said public schools should not be teaching children younger than the fourth-grade level about sex, sexual preferences or gender identity, and that it should instead be left up to parents to discuss those topics.
“Education and parents’ rights is an important issue this election, just as it was in Virginia last year, and Republican candidates will be victorious, just ask Terry McAuliffe,” Danielle Alvarez, communications director for the Republican National Committee, said in a statement.
Democratic leaders have argued it is Republicans who are overreaching on these issues, specifically those dealing with LGBTQ issues in the classroom. They have condemned legislation passed in Florida that prohibits the discussion of sexual orientation in the classroom as an attack on transgender youth who are already at risk.
“Look, our thinking is we are going to focus on the here and now. We’re going to focus on the wins that we have been able to make for the American people,” White House press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre said last month when asked about the GOP’s proposed agenda, including a parents’ bill of rights.
There are already signs the issue will linger beyond the midterms and into the 2024 race.
Youngkin is viewed as a possible under-the-radar candidate to run for president, and he has delivered on many of his campaign promises focused on education and parents’ rights.
Former Vice President Mike Pence has for years championed expanded school choice initiatives, and he traveled to Arizona last week to speak about that very issue with outgoing Gov. Doug Ducey (R).
And former President Trump sought to nationalize the issue during the 2020 election when he railed against the teaching of critical race theory and sought to promote “patriotic education.”
“One of the first things that we must do when we have Congress and the White house is stand up for parents’ rights,” Trump said earlier this month in Miami. “Can you imagine 10 or 15 years ago trying to say, ‘We have to stand up for parents’ rights’? I mean, parents’ rights are under attack.”
The Utah Senate race between conservative Republican Sen. Mike Lee and Independent Evan McMullin has emerged as a potential wild card in the battle for the Senate.
Recent polls show the race is close, with McMullin trailing Lee by only a few points in a state where Republican victories are usually all but guaranteed.
Lee, a conservative who supported then-President Trump’s effort to challenge the 2020 election results on Jan. 6, is a star among many members of Utah’s Republican base, but his unpopularity among moderates and Democrats has driven his approval rating down to the low 40s.
“This is within the margin of error,” said Richard Davis, an emeritus professor of political science at Brigham Young University, citing recent polls by Deseret News and the Hinckley Institute of Politics. “It could go either way. It’s basically neck and neck.”
If McMullin manages to pull off an upset, his pledge to not caucus with either Democrats or Republicans could throw the battle for control of the Senate into turmoil.
If Republicans wind up keeping retiring Sen. Pat Toomey’s (R) Pennsylvania seat in GOP hands and defeating the Democratic incumbent in Nevada or Georgia, McMullin could still keep the Senate under Democratic control by voting for Sen. Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) as majority leader.
Conversely, he could swing it to Republicans by affiliating with Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell (Ky.) or simply not affiliating with either party, which would give Republicans a 50-to-49 seat majority with one unaffiliated senator in the chamber.
“He’s in the catbird seat because as an Independent both sides are going to want to give him something” to get his vote for determining the Senate majority in an evenly split chamber, Davis said.
“I can’t imagine that he’s going to caucus with the Republicans, but he had to say that he wasn’t going to caucus with the Democrats to win over the very people he’s trying to win over right now,” Davis said of the moderate Republicans who aren’t thrilled about voting for Lee but wouldn’t consider voting for a Democrat, either.
“He could be in an extremely powerful situation if he gets to determine which way the Senate is organized, which party gets the majority,” he added. “I think what he’s going to do is negotiate on Utah’s behalf, get things for Utah out of this.”
The latest Deseret-Hinckley poll shows Lee leading McMullin by four points, 41 percent to 37 percent, with 12 percent of Utah voters undecided.
The poll found that 40 percent of respondents had a favorable view of Lee, while 47 percent had an unfavorable view.
Lee’s allies, however, argue that the Deseret poll put too much weight on registered instead of likely voters, skewing the results in favor of McMullin.
Lee’s allies think it’s more likely that the incumbent wins by a healthy margin of 10 or more points.
The poll, however, found the numbers stay largely the same among likely voters and the race tightens among those who say they will definitely vote, with Lee leading McMullin 42-40 percent.
“Mike Lee is leading this race. Every reliable poll shows Sen. Lee with a significant lead and our internal polling gives us even greater confidence in the strong support he has across the state,” said Matt Lusty, an adviser to the Lee campaign.
Utah Democrats helped McMullin significantly by declining to endorse one of their own members and instead backing McMullin at their state convention in April. The Deseret poll found 68 percent of Democrats backing McMullin, and he leads with unaffiliated voters as well.
Davis said if McMullin can win over more Republican moderates who see themselves more in the same camp as Utah’s centrist Republican Sen. Mitt Romney, who voted twice to convict Trump on impeachment charges, he could wind up winning.
McMullin ran as an Independent for president in 2016 and turned in his best performance in Utah, where he won 21 percent of the vote in the general election — trailing the Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton by only 6 points. Trump carried the state with 45 percent of the vote.
Boyd Matheson, a prominent Utah radio host who formerly served as Lee’s chief of staff, said McMullin would find himself under tremendous pressure to pick a side if he manages to defy the odds and win election to an evenly divided Senate.
The Senate’s two current Independents — Bernie Sanders (Vt.) and Angus King (Maine) — both caucus with Democrats. Neither, however, had to defeat a sitting senator to win their seats.
“He would be under immense pressure from both Democrats and Republicans and picking a side at this point matters because if you look at someone like a [Sen.] Joe Manchin [D-W.Va.], the reason Manchin has power because he’s in the room,” Matheson said.
He said if McMullin refuses to caucus with either party, he won’t have any way to sit on a committee without getting a special deal from one of the party leaders.
“That’s going to be the challenge for McMullin. If he wins, can he have any influence without any committee assignment without being in the Republican lunch or the Democratic caucus lunch?” he said.
The race was largely overlooked until Lee went on Fox News host Tucker Carlson’s show Tuesday to plead for Romney’s endorsement, a surprising move since Romney made clear early in the race that he would stay neutral.
“As soon as Mitt Romney is ready to, I will eagerly accept his endorsement,” Lee pleaded on Carlson’s show. “Evan McMullin is raising millions of dollars off Act Blue, the Democratic donor database based on this idea that he’s going to defeat me and help perpetuate the Democratic majority.”
“I’ve asked him, I’m asking him right here again tonight right now,” Lee said. “Please get on board. Help me win reelection.”
Senate aides say Lee’s pleas for help from Romney were especially surprising given that they have clashed repeatedly this Congress, starting with Lee’s strong support for Trump’s effort to challenge the 2020 election results through the courts.
Romney, by contrast, was the only Senate Republican to vote to convict Trump after both of his impeachment trials.
The two Utah senators have also clashed over major policy differences. Lee voted against the three major bipartisan initiatives that Romney supported during President Biden’s term: a $1 trillion infrastructure bill; legislation addressing gun violence after the school shooting in Uvalde, Texas; and a $280 billion bill to support the domestic semiconductor industry.
But Lee and Romney have also worked together on bills to help constituents in Utah, such as the bill they introduced in April to address housing supply and affordability by allowing parcels of federal land to be purchased at a reduced price.
And they pool their staff to work jointly on constituents’ special cases.
Even so, Romney and Lee are hardly considered friends.
Davis, the emeritus political scientist, said Romney is “unlikely” to change his mind and endorse Lee “because I don’t think these two get along well.”
“He can’t endorse McMullin because that would probably be a step too far to do that but by not endorsing [Lee] he’s certainly sending a message,” he added of Romney.
Adding to the surreal moment on Carlson’s show, Trump waded into the race by releasing a statement praising Lee as an “outstanding senator” and criticizing Romney harshly for not endorsing his home-state colleague — bringing fresh attention to the possibility that Lee, who won reelection in a landslide six years ago, might be in trouble.
Trump declared that Romney’s decision to stay neutral in the race “has abused” Lee “in an unprecedented way.”
Lusty, Lee’s campaign adviser, said: “Sen. Lee sees it as important for all members of the party to stand together and he welcomes the public endorsement of all of his Senate GOP colleagues, including Sen. Romney.”
But Romney’s defenders are quick to note that Lee refused to endorse late Utah Sen. Orrin Hatch (R) when he ran for reelection in 2012 and Lee’s chief of staff at the time, Spencer Stokes, predicted that Hatch would lose because he had already spent far too much time in Washington.
Fundraising data collected by the Federal Election Commission as of Oct. 14 showed that Lee had raised $7.9 million for his reelection while McMullin had raised $3.2 million.
Outside interest groups are also pouring money into the race.
The conservative Club for Growth, a group long allied with Lee, has already spent $2.2 million on the Utah Senate race and has vowed to pour more money into the race, according to The Salt Lake Tribune.
On the other side, the Put Utah First PAC has spent more than $2.5 million to help McMullin.
Americans continue to pay more at the grocery store as surging food inflation shows no signs of slowing down.
Grocery prices rose 13 percent over the last year and 0.7 percent in September alone, outpacing the annual 8.2 percent inflation rate for all consumer products, according to the most recent Labor Department data.
The price of fruits and vegetables increased by 10.4 percent annually, while milk rose 15.2 percent and eggs soared 30.5 percent.
Prices could keep rising well into next year, experts say, as it’s unclear when fundamental issues like Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, extreme droughts and supply chain snarls will let up.
“What we’re hearing and what we expect is it’s going to be a pretty rocky fall,” said Andy Harig, vice president of tax, trade, sustainability and policy at the Food Industry Association. “I think we’re probably into the end of the second quarter next year before we get to where it’s a little bit more stable footing.”
Experts are concerned about the threat of a recession coupled with high food prices, which rose last month even as the cost of gasoline, cars and other products fell.
While the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hikes are slowing demand for certain discretionary goods, people will always need to buy food, limiting the impact of monetary policy on prices.
“When food prices increase, it’s an even higher percentage of lower income households’ budgets,” said Jordan Teague, policy director at anti-hunger organization Bread for the World.
“If people need to pay rent or they have a medical bill, they have to make really hard decisions about what they’re not going to pay for, and oftentimes that means buying cheaper but less healthy foods or not buying as much food.”
War in Ukraine stifles supply
Russia’s invasion hit the global food system with a double whammy by reducing food exports from Ukraine — a top supplier of wheat and cooking oils — and prompting Russia to slow its fertilizer exports.
Fertilizer prices surged to record levels this year after Russia, the world’s top fertilizer exporter, halted its shipments in response to international economic sanctions. Belarus, another top fertilizer producer and an ally of Moscow, has also limited its exports, as has China.
That’s made growing crops more expensive than ever. Higher fuel prices brought on by Russia’s invasion make it costlier for farmers and processors to operate equipment and for manufacturers to produce food packaging.
“People knew going into the summer that we should plant extra because there’s going to be this huge global demand. But planting is so expensive now that in a lot of cases they didn’t have the money,” Harig said.
Global wheat prices spiked following Moscow’s invasion, which blocked Ukraine from accessing the Black Sea, its main trade channel. That’s translated to massive price increases for flour, cereal and bread in the U.S. and abroad.
U.S. producers have upped their exports to African countries that rely on Ukraine for food and are facing widespread famine. Russia and Ukraine struck a deal to allow for exports to proceed, but Moscow has threatened to undo it and recently annexed several regions of Ukraine that account for roughly one-fifth of the country’s wheat supply.
Supply chain disruptions remain a problem
Farmers and food processors have reported difficulties transporting grain, livestock and other products amid a shortfall of truck drivers, refrigerated trucks and railroad workers.
Freight railroads, which transport roughly one-quarter of U.S. grain, have been plagued by reliability issues that prevent food from getting to its destination on time, further shrinking supply. The industry is scrambling to hire more conductors and engineers after laying off large numbers of workers in recent years.
Since May, railroads on average failed to fulfill 14 percent of freight deliveries and arrived late 30 percent of the time, according to the Surface Transportation Board. Railroads were forced to briefly cancel agricultural shipments last month amid a potential rail strike, which was averted but could reemerge as a threat to the supply chain in mid-November.
Barges, which transport 13 percent U.S. grain, are the latest mode of transportation to face issues. Many barges are struggling to travel through the Mississippi River, a key agricultural channel, due to dangerously low water levels.
The situation is “especially problematic during the height of harvest season, when farmers are looking to move grain to storage facilities,” according to American Farm Bureau Federation economist Daniel Munch.
“Without relief, many producers will scramble to find places to store their goods or face exorbitant wait times and costs to acquire transportation,” he wrote in a post on Thursday.
Progressive lawmakers and advocacy groups have criticized large multinational corporations for failing to invest in resilient supply chains and instead using their excess funds to reward shareholders with stock buybacks.
Extreme weather and diseaseravages farms
This year’s harsh droughts have devastated farms across the U.S., shrinking yields and ultimately driving up prices at the grocery store.
Climate change has hit farmers in the American West particularly hard. That’s driven up the price of tree nuts, fruits and vegetables that are almost entirely grown in states plagued by drought.
Top trade partners are also feeling the effects of heat waves. The price of coffee beans spiked this year after severe droughts hammered coffee crops in South America.
At the same time, huge outbreaks of bird flu this spring contributed to a 17.2 percent hike in the price of poultry over the last 12 months as other meats saw smaller increases.
Turkey breast prices reached an all-time high in September — 112 percent pricier than the same period last year — after widespread outbreaks curtailed production, according to the Farm Bureau.
The rapper and the Senate candidate each, in their way, offer up a ridiculous caricature of Black conservatism.
Fox News viewers tell me I’m a Black liberal.
A lot of people who know me personally, tell me I’m a Black conservative, citing the fact that I work for Fox News, my church-going and my long marriage.
I’ll give both sides this much:
I am a Black Democrat with some conservative views. And I am always happy to defend the value of Black conservatism in American history.
To my eyes as a civil rights historian, Booker T. Washington and other Black conservatives did well to advocate Black self-help, for creating Black business, supporting Black churches, and celebrating the Black family.
So, it hurt last week when the mantle of Black conservatism was claimed and then degraded by the rapper Kanye West, who now calls himself “Ye.”
First, he claimed to be thinking for himself by appearing at a Paris fashion show wearing a shirt that read: “White Lives Matter.”
No, he thoughtlessly used the shirt to call attention to himself while undermining the power of the words “Black Lives Matter.”
At a moment when Black Americans are responding to rising white supremacy with a powerful message — Black Lives Matter— he faked being an independent or conservative thinker to escape responsibility for being offensive.
This is the same man who years earlier, again without thought, called for the repeal of the 13th Amendment ending slavery. He has also argued that Black people bear responsibility for slavery because it lasted so long.
Then, in a second act of hate, while again pretending to defy orthodox thinking, he unleashed an anti-Semitic Tweet.
He suggested that fellow rapper Sean “P Diddy” Combs is under the control of Jews. He then Tweeted that he was “going Death [sic] Con 3” on “Jewish people.”
Ye’s despicable behavior came as another Black man tried to hide by disguising himself as a Black conservative.
Herschel Walker, the Black GOP senate nominee in Georgia, said he is being unfairly attacked for his conservatism. In fact, it is the women and children in his life who are pointing to his hypocrisy.
He says he is running as an opponent of abortion, a Christian and family values candidate. But his family, not his political rivals, are telling reporters he paid a woman to have an abortion, failed to raise children he had with several women, and even held a gun to the head of his former wife.
There is a cruel hand chaining the rapper and the football player together as they pretend to be Black conservatives.
They are puppets for former President Trump.
They are useful distractions from Trump’s record of racism by entertaining Trump’s followers as Black faces who insult and mock other Black people.
In my book, “What the Hell Do You Have to Lose? Trump’s War on Civil Rights,” I chronicled the damage Trump has done to race relations.
His awful record on race includes damaging the noble tradition of Black conservatism.
Washington Post columnist Karen Attiah called out Trump’s exploitation of West and Walker.
“Especially in our MAGA era, anti-Blackness and misogyny are profitable in America, especially if you’re a rich and famous man of any color,” she wrote.
“West will get the publicity, the outrage clicks, a spot in the news cycle… In Walker’s case, he got the MAGA-activating endorsement of Trump. And he’s getting even more cash and support from other Republicans.”
Attiah concluded that because “our culture rewards anti-Blackness and misogyny, we will be sure to see more Wests and Walkers.”
Real Black conservatives are nothing like that.
Thinking back to the best of Black conservatives in recent history, I have reverence for the late Secretary of State Colin Powell and Secretary of Transportation William T. Coleman.
These days I have strong disagreements with Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas. But he was once a Malcolm X acolyte, an admirer of the Black Panthers, looking for new solutions to advance Black America.
Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, and former Secretary of Housing and Urban Development Dr. Ben Carson are Black conservatives with records of success who are models of Black achievement.
Too often Black progressives and white media elites are suspicious of Black conservatives for rejecting the mainstream Black approach to advancement.
Yes, it is true that Blacks vote for Democrats roughly 90 percent of the time — but that does not mean we all think alike.
But West and Walker are not coming up with new ideas outside the canon of mainstream strategies to help Black Americans. What they are doing is making money with a clownish act, a masquerade that perverts and distorts Black conservatism.
For years, I have been critical of liberals who demean conservative Black intellectuals as sellouts. Frankly, it is condescending for liberals in the media and academia to dismiss brilliant Black conservatives with different views — people like Thomas Sowell.
But Trump’s Black provocateurs cannot escape history’s judgment that they are cashing in by dancing to the former president’s hateful, authoritarian tunes.
All their fame can’t hide them from the scorn of people who see them as useful idiots for Trump, Ultra-MAGA ethno-nationalists, and corporate interests throwing around media distractions while they take the money and run.
They do not represent Black conservatism. It is time for Black conservatives of every stripe to call them out.
Who will join me?
Juan Williams is an author, and a political analyst for Fox News Channel.