5 shot, 2 killed in DC shooting near senior citizens home

Five people were shot and two people are dead after two unidentified assailants exited a black SUV and sprayed gunfire across a city block in Washington, D.C., on Wednesday afternoon.

Metropolitan Police Department (MPD) Executive Assistant Chief Ashan Benedict said at a press conference that the shooting erupted around 12:49 p.m. at O Street Northwest, near the Johns Hopkins business school and a senior citizens home.

Benedict said the SUV stopped on the street before the shooters filed out of the car and began “shooting at folks on the block” before they jumped back in the vehicle and fled. He said they likely wielded automatic pistols.

All five victims were Black men, according to the MPD. Three of the victims are receiving treatment in the hospital.

Benedict said the incident occurred near an “open-air drug market” and followed other violent crimes and shootings in recent days.

“This is an ongoing problem for us. We need the community’s help to continue to quell the disturbance in this area,” he said. “Unfortunately it escalated to the point that five people were shot today. It’s unacceptable.”

The MPD said the investigation is ongoing and requested that anyone with information call (202) 727-9099.

Source: TEST FEED1

How do I know if I have a Pell Grant?

(NEXSTAR) — President Biden’s Wednesday announcement of $10,000 in student debt relief for borrowers came with a new detail: those who received Federal Pell Grants will have $20,000 in debt forgiven.

Now you may be wondering: Do I have a Pell Grant?

Here’s how to check.

  1. Log into your Federal Student Aid account. This may be a different place than where you typically make payments to your student loans.
  2. Your official FSA Dashboard should show a visual breakdown of your aid account by “My Aid.” (See below).
  3. The chart should differentiate between amounts of “Loans” and “Grants.” You can click “View Details” for further information and to learn if your grants are Pell Grants.
Screenshot from Federal Student Aid dashboard.

Details on further eligibility or next steps for those who did receive Pell Grants will come before student loan repayments resume in January 2023, the administration says. The $20,000 debt forgiveness for Pell Grant recipients and the regular $10,000 forgiveness for other students are both restricted to people who made below $125,000 (single people) or $250,000 (married).

In case you’re wondering — or have forgotten since you graduated — what is a Pell Grant?

A Federal Pell Grant is typically awarded to undergraduate students who display exceptional financial need, the U.S. Department of Education’s Federal Student Aid office explains. Amounts given each year can fluctuate depending on a variety of factors, including school costs, student’s full- or part-time status, and expected family contribution.

The current maximum Federal Pell Grant award amount is $6,895 per academic year. While Pell Grants typically don’t have to be repaid, the department says they do under some circumstances.

Wednesday’s announcement came after months of speculation on what steps the Biden administration would take to address student debt, which totals about $1.6 trillion nationally.

“In keeping with my campaign promise, my Administration is announcing a plan to give working and middle class families breathing room as they prepare to resume federal student loan payments in January 2023,” Biden tweeted Wednesday morning.

Borrowers with undergraduate loans will also be able to cap repayment at 5% of their monthly income, the White House said.

Source: TEST FEED1

Democrats scramble to replace Maloney atop Oversight panel

The race to replace Rep. Carolyn Maloney (D-N.Y.) as the leading Democrat on the Oversight and Reform Committee is already heating up, with at least two senior Democrats vying for the top spot in the next Congress. 

Reps. Stephen Lynch (D-Mass.) and Gerry Connolly (D-Va.) quickly announced their intent to seek the powerful seat on Wednesday, just hours after Maloney lost her primary contest to Rep. Jerrold Nadler (D-N.Y.) in Manhattan. 

Maloney has chaired the committee since the death of Rep. Elijah Cummings (D-Md.) almost three years ago. She will keep the gavel until the end of the current term, when House Democrats will vote to replace her. It’s unclear if other Democrats will join Lynch and Connolly in the race. 

With subpoena power and a broad jurisdiction, the Oversight panel is among the most sought after committees in the lower chamber. And with Democrats expected to lose control of the House in November’s midterm elections, the stakes will be high.

Republicans are vowing to use the Oversight panel to launch numerous investigations into the Biden administration. 

In that scenario, the ranking member position will provide a high-profile perch for the senior Democrat to cut a national profile defending the party’s White House ally on issues ranging from border immigration policy to the origins of the coronavirus. 

Lynch, an 11-term lawmaker, is touting his seniority on the panel in his pitch to fellow Democrats, highlighting his current position as chair of the Oversight Committee’s subpanel on national security. 

“For the past 17 years, I have served as a Chairman or Ranking Member of an Oversight Subcommittee – a record that is unmatched by any Committee member – and I have fought proudly against Republican legislative attacks designed to curb critical safety regulations, abrogate the fundamental employment rights of federal employees, privatize and dismantle the Postal Service, and infringe on D.C. Home Rule,” Lynch wrote in a letter to Democratic colleagues. 

Connolly, a member of the New Democrats in his seventh term, is making a similar case, arguing that his long experience on the panel fighting to protect government institutions like the Postal Service, and defend federal employees — a significant constituency in his Northern Virginia district — make him the best fit for the job. 

“For more than fourteen years, I have made this Committee my top priority and focused on the issues that define it: Postal reform; defending our proud federal employees; rooting out waste, fraud, and abuse; modernizing the federal government; and holding the Trump administration accountable,” he said Wednesday morning in a statement. 

Unlike the Republicans, Democrats tend to favor more veteran members when it comes to filling the top seat on committees. Still, seniority provides no guarantee of winning a gavel. Indeed, Cummings took over the top spot on the Oversight Committee in 2011 by hopping over a more veteran Democrat. More recently, Rep. Rosa DeLauro (D-Conn.) won the Appropriations gavel over the the more senior Rep. Marcy Kaptur (Ohio). 

Lynch, perhaps with that in mind, is vowing to empower the other members of the committee when it comes to investigative subjects.   

“In my experience, the Oversight Committee has been most effective when we allow individual members to showcase their diverse talents and areas of keen interest,” he wrote.   

Connolly, who has been among the most outspoken critics of Trump’s role in last year’s attack on the U.S. Capitol, maintains that he’s already proven his mettle in that arena.   

“We need a tested leader who will not be timid in the face of Republican insurrectionists. One who has a deep understanding of the issues facing our Committee and our country. A collaborator who can be a bridge to our talented and diverse caucus,” he said. 

Source: TEST FEED1

Five takeaways from Tuesday’s big primaries

The New York Mets played the New York Yankees this week. Loyalties were divided; cross-town rivalries acute. The political equivalent of that series played out yesterday in a hard-fought Democratic primary between Reps. Jerry Nadler and Carolyn Maloney in Manhattan. Here are five key takeaways from that race, as well as others in New York.

First, national Democrats had a huge night in New York, fortifying their sense that a brutal midterm environment has softened, if not turned around. The big news was the victory of Democrat Pat Ryan over Republican Mark Molinaro in a special election in the Hudson Valley to replace former Rep. Antonio Delgado (Delgado left the House to serve as lieutenant governor). No pundit that I know predicted a Democratic victory in that Republican-leaning district. One poll on the verge of Election Day had Molinaro up by eight points.

Molinaro’s campaign echoed the conventional GOP playbook, which should be entitled “B.I.G.”: Biden, Inflation, Gas. 

At lunch in early summer, Ryan told me that he intended to “put choice on the ballot.” He decided to spur Democratic turnout and persuade swing voters by turning the race into a referendum on the Supreme Court’s dismantling of Roe v. Wade. 

The strategy worked, and Ryan almost beat Molinaro in the Republican’s home county. But even in the post-election analysis, many pundits have missed another dynamic: Ryan is a West Point graduate and Iraq War combat veteran. The lesson: In purple districts, Democrats with credibility on national security issues perform well. 

Second, the argument that a far-left progressive candidate is a prerequisite to turning out the base in New York fell flat in at least one district, NY-17. There, Rep. Sean Patrick Maloney, who chairs the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, found himself in a primary by uber-progressive State Senator Alessandra Biaggi. Her campaign believed, understandably, that a low turnout Democratic primary in the dead of August would hinge on progressive energy. Maloney defeated her by over 30 points.

Lesson two: Ideological energy is important but doesn’t guarantee turnout in a primary. You need all the dynamics of a strong campaign, including money and compatibility with constituents.

Third, the lesson about the energy of the base in Maloney’s district upstate also applied to Republicans downstate. For example, In Long Island’s 2nd congressional district, incumbent Republican Anthony Garbarino trounced a Republican who bashed him for supporting the bipartisan infrastructure bill and to certify President Biden as the winner of the 2020 election.

Fourth, that clash of the titans between Nadler and Maloney (who found themselves drawn into the same district) proved an argument I made in this newspaper several years ago: Beneath the cerebral, often verbose image of Nadler are the survival instincts of a New York streetfighter. He may be one of the most underestimated political operatives on Capitol Hill (at least until last night). The guy grew up in Manhattan’s clubhouse politics, which can be more cutthroat than inside the beltway. Lesson: To survive in a rapidly changing, unpredictable environment, don’t lose your political footing. As House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) often says, you must “own the ground.”

Fifth, don’t cast these takeaways in stone when divining their impact on the November midterms. There are no political earthquakes in midterm elections, but there are tremors.

The bottom line is that for both parties, the ground remains shaky and unpredictable. The best strategy for both parties is to hope for the best and plan for the worst.  

Steve Israel represented New York in the U.S. House of Representatives over eight terms and was chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee from 2011 to 2015. He is now director of the Cornell Jeb E. Brooks School of Public Policy Institute of Politics and Global Affairs. Follow him on Twitter @RepSteveIsrael. 

Source: TEST FEED1

Progressives hail Biden for action on student loans

Progressives are praising President Biden’s plan on student loans, arguing the move to provide $20,000 in relief to Pell Grant recipients in particular is a real step toward helping the most needy deal with crippling college debt.  

Biden is canceling up to $10,000 in debt for single people making less than $125,000 annually in addition to the $20,000 in relief for those who received the need-based program.  

The extra relief for the Pell Grant group was somewhat of a surprise that sweetened the pot for liberals, who had been calling for as much as $50,000 in debt forgiveness per borrower. 

“Today’s announcement marks a historic moment in the long fight to end the student debt crisis,” said Natalia Abrams, president of the Student Debt Crisis Center. “Broad-based student debt cancellation will free millions of Americans to invest in their futures, support their families, and contribute to their communities and the economy.” 

“Today is a day of joy and relief,” Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) tweeted after the announcement. 

She had introduced the idea of loan forgiveness during the 2020 presidential campaign and got Senate Majority Leader Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) on her side to convince administration officials to take the issue seriously. Schumer was on the phone discussing details with the White House up until the final decision.  

Left-wing lawmakers and activists see the move as a positive, necessary step of action before the midterms. By forgiving large portions of Americans’ loans, Biden moved closer to becoming the progressive leader that he promised to voters, they said, following through on a campaign pledge.  

Biden’s sweeping plan unveiled officially on Wednesday is the largest forgiveness of federal student loans per person yet. Heeding calls from progressives, he also extended the ongoing federal loan payment freeze and interest accrual until the last day of the year.  

The White House announced that borrowers with existing undergraduate loans can cap repayment at 5 percent of their monthly income. Under his policy, current students with loans are eligible for this debt relief and dependent students will be allowed relief based on their parents’ income. 

The Hill reported the news of the planned executive actions and timing on Tuesday.  

Biden still didn’t go as far as some wished, but the complaints were relatively muted just before the official rollout.

“While this isn’t everything that advocates have called for, I think that many of them will recognize the immense difference that this is going to make in the lives of millions,” said one Democratic aide close to the issue. 

If all eligible borrowers take advantage of the policy, 43 million people will benefit. Of those, 20 million will have their debt completely wiped out, according to an estimate released by the White House.   

The Department of Education also announced forthcoming changes to its existing Public Service Loan Forgiveness program, which allows certain public servants to receive additional assistance, on top of other smaller-scale measures.  

Some did lament that Biden did not go further than $10,000.  

“It’s a small, small addition,” said Angelo Greco, a progressive campaign strategist. “I just don’t see how anyone who has been pushing for at least $50,000 and citing all the racial equity stats as motivation to do it can be thrilled about something that scratches the surface of a systemic crisis.” 

Abrams, of the Student Debt Crisis Center, said that while the announcement is “a major win for many,” the ceiling will leave others still crushed by debt.”  

“We think roughly 20 million people will be debt free,” said Thomas Gokey, an organizer with the Debt Collective. “For many others this will do very little. We have more work to do.”

The NAACP, which had been pressing for more relief than $10,000, said the proposal took the nation closer to alleviating the burden of student debt.

“We’ve got a ways to go, but the NAACP is proud that we were able to push President Biden to exceed $10,000, bringing us closer to $50,000 and beyond,” NAACP President Derrick Johnson said. “Monthly payments won’t resume until 2023 and will be more manageable for many borrowers.”

Republicans are attacking the move as adding to inflation, and some centrist Democrats have shared those concerns.  

Rep. Chris Pappas (D-N.H.), who is up for reelection in the fall, bashed the president, saying the plan bypassed lawmakers. He also aired concerns that it will add to the deficit, a talking point echoed by some moderates in recent days. 

“This announcement by President Biden is no way to make policy and sidesteps Congress and our oversight and fiscal responsibilities,” Pappas said. “Any plan to address student debt should go through the legislative process, and it should be more targeted and paid for so it doesn’t add to the deficit.” 

Still, on the left, even those who previously quibbled with certain elements considered the announcement a big deal. 

Melissa Byrne, a prominent loan forgiveness activist and executive director of We the 45 Million, said Biden made use of his full executive authority.  

“President Biden indeed made hope and history rhyme by using the power of his pen to cancel student loan debt,” said Byrne. 

The National Education Association, a labor union, noted that including even more relief for Pell Grant recipients will go a long way.  

“The additional relief for Pell Grant recipients ensures equity, and that the borrowers with the greatest need are not left behind,” said NEA President Becky Pringle. “This will have a positive impact on America’s educators and the students they serve. This is an encouraging step toward achieving the goal of broad student loan cancellation of at least $50,000 per borrower without means testing.”  

For all the enthusiasm among many Democrats, recent polling indicates the issue is decisive. Thirty-four percent of respondents to a new CNBC poll say only those in need should have debt forgiven, while 32 percent say all of those with student loan debt should have it forgiven. Thirty percent say no debt should be forgiven.  

The move also adds to a run of policy success for liberals, who had rallied around the recent climate, tax and health care bill signed into law by Biden. While it did not come close to meeting their initial goals, it still represented the biggest step even taken legislatively in the fight against climate change.  

Progressives now want to make gains on other issues — notably voting rights.  

“I think student forgiveness is great. Good folks will save money. It will sow the idea that government is a place where things can get done,” said Michael Ceraso, a Democratic strategist and campaign veteran.  

“But if you want to expand the electorate, you fight for voting rights. Period,” he said. “Student loan forgiveness doesn’t elicit the same response. It’s a static move that won’t make any ripples. But combine it with voting rights? And Biden becomes the president everyone wanted in 2020.”

Source: TEST FEED1

Ukraine puts captured Russian war machines on display at muted Independence Day

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KYIV, Ukraine — It was a muted Independence Day in Ukraine’s capital city, where the population generally laid low amid threats of Russian attacks six months into a brutal war that has left tens of thousands dead. 

The normal jammed traffic was slower, as Ukrainians paid heed to warnings of possible strikes. Air raid sirens sounded throughout the day and into the evening, a reminder that Russian missiles still threaten the country. 

A few souvenir hawkers were out on nearly empty sidewalks — some with hiked prices despite the lack of crowds. A number of coffee shops and restaurants appeared to be closed. Ukrainian flags and graffiti denouncing Moscow were ever-present. 

The one place where the crowds seemed to gather en masse was Khreschatyk Street, the main artery of the city. It was open for pedestrian traffic, allowing onlookers to tour a macabre display of heavily damaged tanks, armored personnel carriers, rocket launchers. 

Ukraine
People pass former Russian tanks in Kyiv, Ukraine, during the Independence Day of Ukraine on Wednesday, August 24, 2022. Laura Kelly

Anna Klovak, a mother of three from Kyiv, spoke to The Hill while walking among the parade of destroyed Russian war machines. She’s decided to live in Poland and only returned to the country to set up her apartment to be rented out. 

“I thank god that my job gives me an opportunity to live and work in Europe — because the biggest [fear] for me is my son come to school here and if some bomb or missiles hit here, it will be the end of my life,” she told The Hill. 

“That’s why I should live far away from Ukraine right now. I really love my country and I don’t want to be somewhere else and living in Poland, because Poland is nice country but it’s not mine. Just one wish that the war should end as soon as possible and I hope to come back here with my son and my two kids.”  

On a war-torn Independence Day, she spoke with pride of free speech in her country while saying she made the decision to live abroad for the safety of her son.  

“I am Ukrainian, and I feel free to do what I want. I can write anything on Facebook or Instagram and no one will judge me by police by court.” 

Nazar Vorobay, 21, originally from Bucha, was also walking by the tanks and other machinery. He said the war had made him more resilient.  

“I became much more independent, substantially … being here and living through that whole shit, I’m sorry, but that was just so horrific. I became much more independent and I realize that oh, clearly, nothing worse can happen, I already lived through … I could have died, it wasn’t safe at all.” 

His parents have relocated to Spain, but he remains in the country. He describes Bucha before the war as an upscale suburb outside of Kyiv, where upper-middle class families who worked in the city moved to have more space.  

Thinking about Bucha before the war, he says he gets chills.

The burned-out Russian war machines are part of an ever-growing collection of evidence and artifacts of Russia’s attempt to take over Ukraine. 

In a visit to Irpin earlier in the day, the mayor of the city, Oleksandr Markushin, told The Hill that a destroyed bridge over the Irpin river will be preserved as a memorial and a museum, and a new bridge will be built next to it. 

Mayor Oleksandr Marukshin stands in front of Irpin's destroyed bridge.
Mayor Oleksandr Markushin stands in front of Irpin’s destroyed bridge. A new bridge will be built next to the original, which will be used as a memorial and museum. Laura Kelly

“This bridge was destroyed by Ukrainian forces to cut off the Russians from entering Kyiv,” he told The Hill. He added that 40,000 people evacuated through this area, despite the destruction, and it also served as a key route to deliver humanitarian aid. 

About 30 percent of Irpin, a suburb only a short drive from Kyiv, was occupied by Russian forces. 

“A lot of people were killed. The most terrible story was when one woman and two children, and one volunteer, came here and tried to be evacuated, and the Russian mine hit them. I still see it in my nightmares, even now.” 

Marking Independence Day, Markushin wore a shirt with the traditional embroidery of Ukraine — called the vyshyvanka pattern. The shirt also was the color of military green, reflecting his position as a war-time mayor. 

“We don’t have any free days, we are always working to protect our security, especially as Russia seeks to attack us on these days,” he said. 

Source: TEST FEED1

Texas church apologizes, agrees to pay damages for unauthorized ‘Christian' production of 'Hamilton'

A Texas church responsible for the unauthorized “Christian” production of “Hamilton” apologized to those involved in its creation, including Lin-Manuel Miranda, for its staging of the hit musical and will pay for any damages.

In a statement posted on Instagram on Tuesday, The Door McAllen Church pastor Roman Gutierrez apologized for the church’s staging of the Broadway production that “infringed on the rights and copyrights of many.”

“The Door Christian Fellowship McAllen Church did not ask for, or receive, a license from the producers or creators of Hamilton to produce, stage, replicate or alter any part of Hamilton; nor did we seek prior permission to alter Lin-Manuel Miranda’s work by changing the music, the lyrics, deleting songs, and adding dialogue,” the statement reads. “We respect the copyright of Hamilton’s author and contributors.”

The church’s version of the musical changed lyrics and added text to the show containing Christian themes and references to Jesus Christ. The Door Christian Fellowship’s production also included a sermon at the end of the show listing homosexuality as a “struggle” alongside alcohol and drugs, according to The New York Times.

Gutierrez, who initially said the “Hamilton” team had approved “our version” of the musical, said the ministry will see this moment as “a learning opportunity about protected artistic works and intellectual property.”

“I recognize as the Pastor of the church that I have an obligation and responsibility to follow the law and educate our community about these protocols,” he wrote.

A spokesperson for “Hamilton” said that it will donate all damages to a nonprofit coalition supporting the LGBTQ+ community in South Texas, according to the Times.

“On behalf of The Door Christian Fellowship McAllen Church, we agree we will never stage the performance again and will destroy any and all video or sound recordings and images of the unauthorized performances or rehearsals, and request that all our members do the same,” Gutierrez said. “Lastly, we will pay damages for our actions.”

The Hill has reach out to the Dramatists Guild of America for comment.

Source: TEST FEED1

Who is Maxwell Alejandro Frost, the 25-year-old Democratic House nominee?

“My name is Maxwell Alejandro Frost and I will be the first Generation-Z member of Congress.”

Frost, 25, published his victory tweet shortly after 10 a.m. Wednesday, his first day as the official Democratic nominee for an Orlando House seat.

Four hours earlier, at the crack of dawn, Frost retweeted Florida Politics, a local news outlet that said his win “stuns [the] establishment.”

“Thinking about what I wanted to tweet out this morning or what I wanted to say, I really wanted to harp and focus on the fact that young people are oftentimes counted out. But I really want folks to know that I am unapologetically young,” Frost told The Hill.

While Frost did stun the Democratic establishment – coming seemingly out of nowhere to best a wide field packed with senior political figures – Frost’s win is notable even amid a diversifying national candidate corps.

Frost has roots in a broad swath of American life: His parents, who adopted Frost at birth, are a Cuban-American woman and a white man from Kansas. His birth parents were a Lebanese-Puerto Rican woman and a Haitian man.

Frost, who is Black, spoke both English and Spanish at home, and he capitalized on his multicultural upbringing to campaign in a district that’s as diverse as his own origins.

Still, Frost stands out for a resume that doesn’t match his age.

He’s been politically active for a decade, mainly campaigning against gun violence and for abortion rights in organizations like March for Our Lives and the ACLU.

“Maxwell is a very ambitious and incredibly special person, a special candidate. I think he has a very bright future,” said Victoria McGroary, the executive director of Bold PAC, the Congressional Hispanic Caucus campaign arm.

“He is both extremely young and energetic and has a decade of experience doing the work to bring about change,” added McGroary.

Frost’s primary campaign was one of two top targets for Bold PAC this cycle, with the group betting big on Frost both with involvement at the strategic level and a $250,000 independent expenditure.

Frost is all but certain to win in November, as the seat he’s competing for — a safe blue seat vacated by retiring Rep. Val Demings (D-Fla.) — was redrawn packing more Democratic voters together.

But Democrats see potential in Frost that extends beyond November.

“Maxwell is the future of the Democratic Party,” said McGroary. “The work Bold PAC has done with Maxwell’s campaign embodies the very mission of Bold PAC.”

Frost said he will continue to advocate for the issues he’s been active in, but also serve as a sort of ambassador for his generation in Congress.

“I’m always asked, ‘does Gen Z care about different things than other generations?’ I actually push back. I don’t think we care about different issues. I don’t think we care about different things. I think we all care about the same things. About living our lives, having the resources we need, being valued and cared for. But we just see the issues through a different light,” said Frost. 

“Certain folks might say young people are in debt because they’ve lived beyond their means. But as a young person, I know that that’s not true. I know it’s because we’ve been denied the means to live,” he added.

“When we think about health care, we’re thinking about it holistically. When we think about climate change, we’re thinking about the fact that every year we wait, the bill gets higher and higher to deal with the problem.”

Frost’s political passions also stem from personal experience – his gun advocacy was kicked off in Halloween of 2016, when Frost and his friends were forced to run away from an active shooter in downtown Orlando.

His push for reproductive rights is informed by his birth mother’s experience, who didn’t have the means to get medical treatment during her pregnancy.

But beyond the big political fights, Frost said he wants to advocate for the arts in Congress.

Before he found activism at age 15, Frost credits his father’s musical education for his discipline and drive.

“My dad is a full time musician. My life changed forever when he gave me a drum set in the second grade. And I became a musician and I always grew up hearing music in the house,” said Frost.

“When I was younger, like any other kid, I just didn’t really understand where I wanted to go, what I wanted to do, but music and art really changed that for me, my dad was an influence in helping me hone my energy.”

Source: TEST FEED1

We’ll need hundreds of new critical metals mines to decarbonize

Over the past few years, Nevada has become a battleground between mining companies and environmentalists over the development of the state’s lithium deposits, the largest known in the United States. The proposed mines would produce millions of tons of lithium for batteries that will benefit the climate in the long term by deploying more electric vehicles (EVs), but, according to opponents, would come at the expense of fragile local ecosystems, endangered species and sacred Indigenous lands. 

This same battleground is being replicated all over the world, as countries gear up to transition cars from gasoline to electricity. 

Lithium is one of the critical metals essential for clean energy technologies, along with cobalt and nickel for EV batteries, rare earth elements for wind turbines, and silicon and gallium for solar panels. According to projections by the International Energy Agency, reaching global net zero emissions by 2050 will require expanding the production of energy-relevant metals from 7 million tons per year to 42 million by 2040 — a whopping sixfold increase. In particular, demand for lithium is expected to grow by as much as 40 times over 2020 levels as EV sales in China and the United States take off in the post-2025 period. 

Surging demand and dizzying price hikes have raised concerns that inadequate metal and mineral supplies may impede the clean energy transition. Given the urgency of reducing fossil fuel use, the science and policy worlds must solve two main challenges: how to ensure the availability and affordability of critical metals in the quantities needed, and how to manage the environmental impacts related to mining and processing them. The latter issue is likely to be much trickier than the former. 

Critical minerals are commodities that follow the rules of supply and demand. When demand increases, prices rise, providing incentives to find and produce more of whatever mineral is in short supply. Twenty years ago, predictions of uranium shortages sent prices for raw uranium soaring, which in turn stimulated increased prospecting and discovery of new uranium ore deposits. More recently, impending shortages of rare earth elements have triggered a global stampede to find new supplies — which, given recent finds, seem to be more prevalent than previously thought. In almost every case, the growth rate in reserves has kept up with demand and predictions of scarcity have proved to be overly pessimistic.  

Admittedly, time lags and geopolitics may slow, but not derail, the rate of new finds and production. Take the example of lithium — the most critical component for today’s batteries. Fueled by explosive growth in the EV market, the price of lithium has increased 1,100 percent in the past two years, a trend that is likely to accelerate because of existing policy incentives and increasing EV technology competitiveness. Long lead times for new mines — three years or more — will keep lithium supplies tight and prices high in the short term, but high prices will attract widespread investment in exploration, extraction and distribution. As a result, we predict that by 2025 lithium supplies will outpace demand and prices will plummet, and similar fluctuations in lithium, cobalt and nickel prices and availability will recur throughout the next decades. 

We are already seeing this dynamic at play with increased interest in lithium mining in Nevada and elsewhere. But as companies search for reserves to develop, they will continue to run up against opposition founded on legitimate environmental concerns. Mining and refining are difficult, dirty operations that often have devastating impacts on the surrounding environment. On the other hand, hundreds of new mines will be needed if the world is to meet its decarbonization targets.  

In our opinion, the primary hurdle to meeting the demand for batteries will not be raw material availability but whether governments and industries can manage the environmental impacts of mining on a time schedule that will be compressed into 25-40 years. Doing so will require substantial investment in prevention of toxic waste leakages from mining, improved options to protect the local ecology, and development of better land reclamation techniques. It will mean investing in safer and cleaner ways to transport and refine minerals. Reforming and streamlining siting processes will help, but without significant improvements to minimize environmental degradation, such reforms will fall short. 

Proactively addressing and assuaging public objections to new mines will be essential to securing access to critical metals.   

Henry Lee is director of the Environment and Natural Resources Program (ENRP) at Harvard Kennedy School’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs. Xin Sun is a predoctoral research fellow with ENRP and a Ph.D. candidate at Tsinghua University’s School of Vehicle and Mobility.

Source: TEST FEED1

Forecasters shift NY House seat to 'lean Democrat' after special election

Forecasters on Wednesday shifted their rating for a New York district toward the Democrats after Democrat Pat Ryan won a special election Tuesday that was seen as a bellwether.

Ryan beat Republican Marc Molinaro to represent New York’s 19th Congressional District through January, a seat that opened up when former Rep. Antonio Delgado (D) was appointed lieutenant governor earlier this year. The 19th District special election had been touted as a litmus test of swing district voter behavior.

Ryan also won the Democratic primary on Tuesday for the redrawn 18th Congressional District and will compete there in November for his first full term.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report changed its rating for the 18th from “toss-up” to “lean Democrat.” 

Sabato’s Crystal Ball, the election handicapper from the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, noted that “Democrats scored an impressive victory” in Tuesday’s special election that was “at least somewhat surprising” in the 19th district. 

Projecting that Ryan “should be a small favorite in the bluer district,” Sabato’s Crystal Ball also changed its rating for the 18th District seat from “toss up” to “leans Democratic.”

Molinaro will run for a full term in the redrawn 19th District.

Because redistricting will cut Republican Molinaro’s home county off the new 19th district map, the forecaster changed ratings for the district from “leans Republican” to “toss-up.”

The Cook Political report also left the 19th district in its “Democratic toss up” column. 

Source: TEST FEED1